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Could the Iran war trigger the next debt shock?

Counting the Cost

Could the Iran war trigger the next debt shock?

Government Bonds are under pressure and households could soon feel the impact.

Borrowing costs in major economies have hit their highest levels in nearly two decades.

Investors have been shunning government debt and demanding higher returns.

They worry that the Iran war could keep oil prices and inflation high.

The International Monetary Fund warns that global debt could approach World War Two levels.

At the centre of it all is the US, which largely sets borrowing costs worldwide.

That means higher mortgage repayments and car loans, more expensive credit, as well as rising business costs passed on to consumers.

For developing nations borrowing in dollars, it puts even more pressure on stretched budgets.

Published On 18 May 202618 May 2026

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